11

9

of that book made it perfectly clear to my
mind that an inductive argument
does not render its conclusion any
more probable than it was before, using
the word probable in the only sense that can
give any real meaning to the doctrine
of chances. An inductive argument does
not increase the chances in favor of
the truth of the proposition that it concludes.
Indeed it is difficult to see what definite
meaning can be attched to the phrase “the chances
in favor of the truth of the proposition which
induction infers.” If you could put all
possible universes into a bag and after
shaking them well up, would draw out universe