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O.61

because men had the good fortune early to stumble on the maxim that the simplest hypotheses are the most likely? No doubt they really are so, in the sense in which Galileo recommended the rule. But I formerly accepted it in the sense of logical simplicity, as I suppose most persons have done who attached any definite meaning to the rule. At length the errors it led me into became so numerous as to open my eyes to its falsity. I then saw, that to begin with, there is no reason why it should be true (except, of course, that superfluous embroideries on a hypothesis

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