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of the sixth toy being dutiable has no sense
unless it means that among precisely similar
experiments under the same conditions
performed with these very boxes in the
long run such a proportion would turn
out in that way. If, indeed, among the data
of the problem, it had been added that
an endless series of similar cargoes
of boxes of toys were coming in, then the probability need
not be a statistical ratio true of these very
boxes, so long as it was a statistical ratio
true of the general run of those cargoes.
But no such thing has been stated; and
even if it had been, we cannot find out
what that statistical ratio is until we