54

102

when they come shall merely realize
our anticipations, and prevent anticipations
that are not realized?

My own answer to this question has
already been made clear. Namely, the
answer is that induction is such a way
of inference that if one persists in it
one must necessarily be led to the
truth, at last. It is true that this condition is most imperfectly[?] fulfilled in
the Pooh-pooh argument.
For here the unexpected, when it comes,
comes with a bang. But then, on the
other hand, until the fatal day arrives,
this argument causes us to anticipate
just what does happen and prevents us from anticipating a thousand
things that do not happen. I engage
a stateroom; I purchase a letter of