63

118

he will answer truly.

You remember the story in Rabelais of the
judge who acquired such a great reputation
for the eminent fairness and impartiality
of his decisions that the King sent for him
to explain his method. Whereupon he
explained that his rule was first carefully
to read the arguments on both sides and
then take a pair of dice and give judgment
for one or the other party according as the
throw was odd or even.

There is one further feature of probability or unordered frequency
to which I must draw your attention.
It is quite obvious that a fact may happen
independently with any frequency