40

80

have a sufficient knowledge that this ratio
is going to continue substantially unchanged,
but we must further know
that there is not going to be any law of
succession according to which A's that are
Q and As that are not Q are going
to present themselves. If for example every
other A is going to be Q and every other one
not Q, the laws of chance will not hold.
It is the same with any other law of succession.
We must not only not know that is such a
law, but must have a sufficient assurance
that there us no such law. The writers books on
the subject are full of the word “independent.”
The instances must be independent. We